Putin's entourage increasingly sees peace talks as a distant prospect, believing Ukraine’s seizure of territory in Kursk region has been a big blow to Putin’s self-regard.
This was all completely unpredictable in 2022. Russia has now decided it has maximalist goals because, well, that's just how things worked out. Of course, this is very "dark" and "pessimistic" for Russia.
There has always been a problem with peace talks. Who speaks on behalf of Ukraine?
We discovered after a few months that even Zelensky couldn't appoint people to negotiate peace without being over-ruled by UK/US. Then he changed the constitution to make peace talking illegal.
Zelensky's term is over, so is Parliament's.
US is as the Russians say, unable to make agreements with. France and Germany have owned up to their own deception over Minsks and are no more credible than US.
So who is going to guarantee that Mad Ukrainian Nazis won't be supplied more weapons to shell Russian speakers with as soon as a deal is done?
My guess is that we have to wait till rump Ukraine is part of Poland, Hungary and Romania.
Farida is no Russian propagandist. She's just reporting what she hears from her Russian sources. It's good to understand the bad guy's mindset so you can devise the right strategy to counter it - that is all
Ukraine and its allies are going to have to hit Russia where it hurts - or maybe an asymmetric tactic of fomenting internal rebellion might be a strategy
I think that after about one more year of Russia's decimating its military forces in Ukraine, the Chinese will be ready to go ahead and take Russia's Far East, to get the energy resources there. The Chinese, for their part, have shown themselves willing to fight to the last Russian, for a price... And they have begun to complain about the prices Russia charges - even though they pay about 15% less than the market price, and they have already redrawn their maps to include the Far East in China, complete with the historic Chinese place names. So sometime in 2025, with Russia's military significantly weakened, the Chinese will attempt to do what they failed at in Irkutsk in the 1970s. And I doubt that Russia at that point will be able to fight a two front war.
Ruzzian propaganda gargabe piece written to impress western audiences that "russia is prepared for a long fight."
This was all completely unpredictable in 2022. Russia has now decided it has maximalist goals because, well, that's just how things worked out. Of course, this is very "dark" and "pessimistic" for Russia.
There has always been a problem with peace talks. Who speaks on behalf of Ukraine?
We discovered after a few months that even Zelensky couldn't appoint people to negotiate peace without being over-ruled by UK/US. Then he changed the constitution to make peace talking illegal.
Zelensky's term is over, so is Parliament's.
US is as the Russians say, unable to make agreements with. France and Germany have owned up to their own deception over Minsks and are no more credible than US.
So who is going to guarantee that Mad Ukrainian Nazis won't be supplied more weapons to shell Russian speakers with as soon as a deal is done?
My guess is that we have to wait till rump Ukraine is part of Poland, Hungary and Romania.
No wonder no one predicts peace talks.
Farida is no Russian propagandist. She's just reporting what she hears from her Russian sources. It's good to understand the bad guy's mindset so you can devise the right strategy to counter it - that is all
Ukraine and its allies are going to have to hit Russia where it hurts - or maybe an asymmetric tactic of fomenting internal rebellion might be a strategy
Yeah, good luck with that.
Don't mean to imply that this is by design but this reads like an attempt at reflexive control.
What do you mean by the phrase "reflexive control"?
https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-70-reflexive-control-and
Your Russian sources may have ulterior motives.
I think that after about one more year of Russia's decimating its military forces in Ukraine, the Chinese will be ready to go ahead and take Russia's Far East, to get the energy resources there. The Chinese, for their part, have shown themselves willing to fight to the last Russian, for a price... And they have begun to complain about the prices Russia charges - even though they pay about 15% less than the market price, and they have already redrawn their maps to include the Far East in China, complete with the historic Chinese place names. So sometime in 2025, with Russia's military significantly weakened, the Chinese will attempt to do what they failed at in Irkutsk in the 1970s. And I doubt that Russia at that point will be able to fight a two front war.